分析師 | PV InfoLink

首页 分析师观点 分析師 | PV InfoLink

【出货排名】2018上半年组件出货排名出炉

【更正启示】因微信公众号所发之排名表将“出货”误植为“出口”,故删文避免造成误解。仅就错误的标题更正为“出货”排名,其余内文、排名全未有任何变动。

随着二季度财报陆续出炉,PV InfoLink数据库整理出上半年组件出货量统计排名,晶科出货4.8GW稳居2018上半年全球组件排名龙头,后续依序是晶澳、隆基乐叶、阿特斯、天合光能、韩华Q-Cells、东方日升、协鑫集成、尚德、中利腾晖。

TOP 10厂商占全球出货比重持续成长

根据PV InfoLink资料库显示,虽上半年全球组件需求量达到45GW,然今年光伏产业贸易战、政策变动纷扰不断,不仅531之后中国内需冷清,近期印度的25%保障性关税也对印度需求造成影响,PV InfoLink下调印度需求预估至8GW,连带使全球安装量预期下调至83GW。

按此需求量计算,上半年前十大组件厂商出货已占全球63.2%,且由于下半年中、印两大市场萎缩,中小型厂商的受到的冲击远比一线厂更加剧烈,预期至今年底TOP10组件大厂的出货将占到全球需求的67%,远高于2017年的55%。

2018单晶占比明显提升

近期终端市场对于单、多晶产品的性价比更加敏感。虽今年单、多晶硅片价格一路拉锯,单多晶产品的市场热度也有几次轮替,然而随着单晶硅片跌价、单晶PERC产能也持续增加,单晶PERC产品的性价比进一步显现,产品市占率持续提升。上半年单晶占全球需求达45%、中国内需单晶市占率因为上半年不少大型集中式电站也采用单晶产品,单晶产品占中国内需更是创了历史新高,达到54%。

展望下半年,受到中国内需以领跑者项目为主,而本次5GW应用领跑者中,P型与N型单晶产品占到85%,加上以多晶需求为主的印度市场下半年需求呈观望态势,使得2018全年度单晶占比相比上半年可能再稍有提升,落在46-47%左右。

下半年海外市场为重点战场

随着下半年中国需求大幅降低,531之后各家企业无不积极海外市场。除了印度的税率课征仍有变数以外,欧洲的MIP后续走向依旧众说纷纭,此两大光伏市场贸易壁垒将大大左右下半年海外市场氛围。

然而,从目前市场需求来看,2018Q3至2019Q2期间若无额外的政策激励,市场需求都将处于低谷,行情不容乐观,预期全球价格走势仍将缓步下跌。

上一篇 返回上页 下一篇

欢迎您光临PV InfoLink网站(http://www.pvinfolink.com,以下简称“本网站”),请您详阅下方的本网站的使用条款、以保障双方权益,若使用本网站则表明您已知悉并完全接受这些条款。

§ 1 免责声明

本网站合法获取信息,并尽可能以可靠、准确、完整的信息为基础,但不保证本网站信息的绝对准确性和绝对完整性,亦不对任何人的市场操作、投资建议负任何责任。PV InfoLink保留随时补充、修订或更改有关信息的权利,但并不保证随时发布。

 § 2 版权声明

本网站中的商标、名称、版面设计、自有文章、图片、图表等内容之版权归PV InfoLink所有。对于内容中所含的版权和其他所有权声明,使用者应予以尊重并在其转载、副本中予以保留。如果网站内容无权利声明,并不代表本网站对其不享有权利,也不意味着本网站不主张权利,使用者应根据诚信原则尊重该内容的合法权益并进行合法使用。

§ 3 转载及链接

本网站出于促进业界同仁思想交流和研究探讨之目的,可能包含转载文章或连接到第三方网页上的链接。转载文章所阐述的观点只代表该作者自身观点,本网站转载并不代表赞成或反对其观点。另外,本网站对外部链接并不负审查义务,不担保其准确性及完整性。在收集原始素材时,PV InfoLink尽可能注明文章的作者和来源,如文章作者或版权所有者对此存有异议,并不希望本网站引用、转载,请联系我们,本网站将立即予以删除。

§ 4 拒绝提供担保

本网站不提供任何明示或暗示的担保,包含但不限于商业适售性、特定目的之适用性及未侵害他人权利。

本网站之目的为提供使用者参考使用,使用者须自行判断该等资料之即时性及适用性。若有任何交易或投资决定,皆由使用者自行承担相关责任。

若使用者透过本网站与其他厂商进行商品或服务之买卖、或各种交易行为,此时仅使用者与厂商间有契约关系存在,本网站并不介入或参与。如该商品或服务有任何瑕疵或纠纷时,请使用者与其契约方径行联络解决,本网站对此不负任何担保责任

本使用条款之订立、修改、更新及最终解释权均属PV InfoLink所有。若您对于本使用条款或本网站有任何问题或建议,欢迎来信service@pvinfolink.com

Welcome to PV InfoLink website (http://www.pvinfolink.com, hereinafter referred to as “this website”). Please read this terms of use agreement carefully to protect the interests of both parties. By accessing this website, you know and fully agree with these terms.

§1 Disclaimer

Information on this website is legally obtained and is based on reliable, accurate, and complete information. But absolute accuracy and completeness is not guaranteed. We assume no responsibility for anyone’s market operation or investment advice. PV InfoLink reserves the right to add, revise, or alter website information anytime, but information will not be guaranteed to be published all the time. 

§2 Copyright statement

The copyright of trademark, name, website layout, articles, photos, charts, etc. on this website are the properties of PV InfoLink. For the copyright and other proprietary statement contained in the content, users should show the respect and cite sources when sharing the article. If the website has no copyright statement, it does not mean that its contents are not protected. Users should respect the legitimate rights for use based on the principle of integrity.

§3 Share and link

This website may share articles or put subcontractor’s link on this website for the purpose of facilitating peer exchange and research. The point of view for the shared article is author’s own point of view. This website does not represent in favor or against the author’s point of view. In addition, this website does not have an obligation to review external links and does not guarantee its accuracy and completeness. For the collection of original sources, we will try to cite the author and source as much as possible. If the author or copyright owner has any opinions and do not want this website to refer or share their content, please contact us. The article will be removed immediately. 

§4 Refuse to provide warranty

This website does not provide any express or implied warranties, including but not limited to commercial suitability, fitness for a particular purpose, and non-infringement of the rights of others.

This website is for reference only. Users should determine the immediacy and applicability of such information themselves and have to be responsible for any transaction or investment decisions made.

If users conduct trade transactions with other manufacturers through this website, only the user and the manufacturer have a contractual relationship. This website is not involved in it. If the product or service has any flaws or disputes, users will have to contact the contractor. This website will assume no responsibility for such matters.

The making, modification, renewal, and final interpretation of this Terms of Use are the properties of PV InfoLink. If you have any questions or suggestions regarding this Terms of Use or this website, please contact us at service@pvinfolink.com.

研究方法及免责声明

PV InfoLink的现货价格主要来自平时与业界的面谈、
电话访问或通讯软体等沟通渠道讨论所取得,参考超过100家厂商之信息。
主要取市场上最常成交的众数数据作为均价(并非加权平均值)、
但每周根据市场分为略有微调,且加上PV InfoLink专业分析群的市场预测。
我们力求信息的全面性与完整性,惟此信息仅供参考使用,
我们不对任何人的市场操作、投资建议负任何责任。

PV InfoLink gathers price information from face-to-face/phone interviews and other ways of communication with more than 100 PV companies. We get our average price from the most common transactional data in the market (not weighted average), but prices are slightly adjusted every week according to market conditions. With PV InfoLink’s professional market forecast, we seek the fullness and completeness of the information, but this information is just for reference. We assume no responsibility for anyone’s market operation or investment advice.