现货价格

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北部地区、海外安装陆续停工 目前需求已达高峰

硅料价格

本周致密料价格坚守,海内外大厂基本都将价格守在每公斤80元人民币左右。在年底前,不论大小厂,成交价格有望维持在目前每公斤79-82元人民币之间的水平。菜花料部分,本周价格则是些微滑落,小幅下修到每公斤74元人民币上下。预估在年底前主流价格会降到目前的低点。致密料、菜花料两者价差会回到每公斤8元人民币。海外部分,价格依旧保持。

硅片价格

本周硅片价格基本维持平盘,尽管国内一线大厂部份提升了价格,但多数硅片厂仍保持价格,目前多晶硅片价格多落在每片2.05-2.1元之间。而由于小方锭、切片代工报价仍低,因此多晶硅片续涨的可能性较低。多晶的需求预计在接近年底时还是较弱,预估价格在年底前应只能维持在目前水平。海外多晶硅片价格以及单晶硅片本周基本没有变化。

电池片价格

随着年底的抢装潮进入尾声,多晶电池片的拉货进入最后的高峰。且由于先前许多电池片厂已陆续下调或放弃多晶电池片的制造,使得11-12月多晶电池片算是供需平衡,在上周上涨后,本周国内转换效率18.7%+的电池片价格维持在每瓦0.88元人民币上下。

海外则因为国内产出之电池片大多已被国内需求消化,在海外组件较难购足足够的电池片的情况下,海外多晶电池片价格明显拉抬,台厂成交价来到每瓦0.106-0.112元美金,第三地厂商对印度等地的报价则是0.115元美金也能够成交。

然而,在年底抢装潮结束后,海外需求是否足够支撑多晶热度续航目前仍不明朗,多晶电池片在下个月订单能见度不佳的情况下,虽然价格能够上涨,但开工率依然维持在较低迷的水平。

单晶PERC订单续热,本周国内价格维持在上周水平。海外PERC电池片也面临供应短缺,价格仍在上涨,转换效率21.2%-21.4%的普通PERC电池片价格来到0.15-0.156元美金、21.5%+的PERC单面电池片0.155-0.16元美金。而台湾市场需求稳定,台湾单晶PERC电池片价格仍微幅拉抬,目前价格落在每瓦0.168-0.175元美金。

组件价格

组件部分,虽本周数间一线大厂的高效单晶组件一同上涨每瓦0.05元人民币,但由于高效电池片、组件产能年底前大多早已被预订完毕,故市场实际并未有太大影响。

随气候逐步转冷、以及年底将近,欧、美需求已陆续停摆,而国内北部、西北部地区的项目安装也已经陆续开始停工,十二月下旬开始市场需求可能将逐渐转弱。虽然淡季又将再度降临,但目前一线垂直整合大厂一季度订单能见度较高,也由于明年一季度订单更加集中于一线大厂手中,二线厂的开工率可能仍须在淡季作出调整。

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