现货价格

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年底将近价格僵持 有待下周新一轮洽谈

硅料价格

本周致密料价格仍坚守在每公斤80元人民币,虽然低价部分微跌至78元人民币,但在年底前价格有所僵持,成交价基本维持在78-82元人民币之间的水平。而接近年底多晶需求预估渐弱,菜花料价格持续些微滑落,均价小幅下修1元人民币到每公斤73元上下,价格范围在每公斤72-74元人民币,预计下周价格仍有可能小幅下修。海外部分,成交价格则在每公斤8.3-9美元之间。

硅片价格

本周硅片价格基本稳定维持上周水平,多晶硅片价格在每片2.05-2.1元人民币之间,年底项目安装告一段落后,预估多晶产品需求将逐渐转弱,但由于国内一线硅片厂开工率仍有所保留,价格应可以保持在目前水平。海外多晶硅片价格,本周则小幅滑落,目前订单价格多维持在每片0.265-0.268美元之间。单晶硅片本周基本没有变化,视下周隆基是否释出新报价,预估农历年前1月份价格可能将会小幅下修。

电池片价格

由于十二月电池片的量、价先前已洽谈完毕,本周并未有太多新成交订单,价格与上周持平。虽买卖双方开始洽谈一月订单情况,但大多会在下周才陆续开始成交。

目前看来,无论是国内或海外,一月SE-PERC电池片需求依然强劲,加上农历年前的备货潮,供应可能仍略显紧张,价格应能有所支撑。

台湾单晶PERC电池片价格仍微幅拉抬,目前价格落在每瓦0.17-0.178元美金。

然而,在年底抢装潮结束后,海外需求是否足够支撑普通PERC以及多晶热度续航目前仍不明朗,目前整体电池片厂多晶产线开工率依然维持在较低迷的水平,一月在仍有印度需求、以及年前备货潮的情况下,订单应不至急转直下。

组件价格

组件部分,几间一线大厂上周不仅调涨国内价格,海外报价也略有上涨,但由于高效电池片、组件产能年底前大多早已被预订完毕,故市场实际并未有太大影响。

观察近期洽谈明年交货的组件价格,常规多晶组件在一季度将明显走低,不少订单都从每瓦1.75元人民币持续往下洽谈,而高效单晶PERC组件受到一季度仍有领跑者需求、以及海外询单热度也高的情况来看,目前价格较有支撑。

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