现货价格

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五月淡季不淡 电池片价格小幅反弹

硅料价格

本周国内硅料价格基本持稳,五月有永祥、中能、中硅、神舟、OCI等检修或减量,硅料的供应减少,价格的支撑看来较四月强,后续价格甚至有小幅涨价的可能。

另外,五月初国内适逢五一假期,因此部分的价格变动预计在节后才会较明显。从下游的需求来看,整体的需求比原先预想好,因此在供应减少、需求不退的情况下,上游对于五月的市况较乐观。但五月大涨的可能性仍不大,目前仍须关注国内政策出台后,下游的需求力道是否足够强劲传至上游。

海外部分则受到国内单晶用硅料需求增长的影响下,单晶用硅料价格微幅上扬,整体议价方向往卖方倾斜,后续价格将跟随国内价格变化。

硅片价格

本周硅片价格在多晶方面,国内主流价格虽然保持与上周一致,但低价部分再往上,整体价格区间缩小,也给予多晶硅片企业后续上涨的支撑力道,因此预期五一假期之后,可能出现涨价的情况。而海外多晶硅片则是本来就高于国内价格,因此在月初议价反而有所下滑,与国内价格保持一定差距,但依旧高于国内售价。

随着硅料价格后势看好,硅片价格可望也在五月止跌反弹。本周海外多晶硅片价格落在每片0.254-0.257元美金之间,国内多晶硅片维稳在每片1.9元人民币上下。单晶硅片部份,中环亦保持价格不变,因此五月单晶价格将全面维持。

电池片价格

五月不论单晶PERC或常规多晶电池片订单都相当火热,国内一线电池厂皆呈供货紧张,也由于二季度呈现淡季不淡,电池片率先出现价格落底并小幅反弹的情形。

单晶PERC方面,海外市场如欧洲、日本等地需求续热,使得组件厂的整体电池片采购量小幅增温,一线电池大厂供应紧张,单晶PERC电池片五月均价相比四月小幅上涨,成交价格区间落在每瓦1.19-1.21元人民币,五月一、二线国内PERC电池片几乎已完销。

多晶电池片部分,由于电池厂陆续将常规多晶产线升级至单晶PERC,使得常规多晶电池片供货商越来越稀少,再加上上周电池片大厂通威调涨多晶价格,带动整体价格小幅上扬,目前多晶电池片成交价格大多来到每瓦0.85-0.87元人民币。

组件价格

海外组件需求支撑强劲,PERC组件订单仍然畅旺,尤其高效率PERC组件供应略微紧张,弥补了中国本土内需到七月才能有较明显回温的状况,目前整体组件价格仍维持较为稳定的状态。

多晶组件方面,新兴市场需求持续发酵,带动部分多晶组件需求,但仍不足以支撑多晶组件现在就出现涨价,使得厂商也并未出现明显增加多晶产品产出的意愿。

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