现货价格

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年节将至 价格波动趋缓

硅料价格

本周单多晶用料价格持稳。由于前期大多数单多晶硅片企业,陆续完成多晶硅料备货准备,因此部分厂家反馈年前订单基本签订完成,仅极少数订单商议中。国内单晶用料成交价区间落在每公斤71-74元人民币,受惠单晶终端需求支撑,价格依旧维持坚挺,一方面也抵消部分硅料厂库存压力。

多晶用料价格落在每公斤45-51元人民币,市场上针对一线及二、三线厂主流多晶用料报价分别落在每公斤51-52元及45-51元人民币区间,但几乎无新订单成交,主要是在产多晶硅片企业搭配次级料源,将整体多晶用料均价控制在每公斤42-44元人民币之间甚至更低,力拼现金成本能低于市场价格。

海外硅料部分,美金兑换人民币汇率出现波动,不过本周成交订单较少,单多晶用料价格维稳,倘若节后仍维持目前汇率条件,海外单多晶用料价格存在微扬可能性,不过整体调涨幅度有限,落在每公斤0.1元美金左右。

硅片价格

本周多晶硅片价格维稳在每片1.47-1.55元人民币。终端仍有多晶需求的客户,持续向多晶硅片企业下压价格,但由于前期部分硅料厂低价抛售主流多晶用料,导致主流多晶用料呈现低库存,加之节前部分多晶硅片企业提前规划放假,开工率持续下调,多晶硅片供应进一步略减。整体来看,预判节前多晶硅片价格呈现持稳的走势 ; 节后多晶硅片不排除供应稍紧,但价格方面上调的机会不大,不过跌价幅度有机会收窄甚至持稳下来。

受惠单晶终端需求旺盛,现货市场交易持续热络,本周单晶硅片价格持稳,成交价维持在每片2.98-3.06元人民币。终端拉货力道以M2(156.75mm)尺寸为主,加之去年底单晶硅片企业转换大尺寸速度加快,目前市场上M2单晶硅片呈现供应短缺的情况。

电池片价格

随着印度的保障措施税即将下调,印度的需求已开始出现回温,同时也带动多晶电池片需求略有起色,本周跌幅趋缓,成交价格落在每片2.65-2.7元人民币上下,但由于各家接单情况不一,价格区间拉大,高于、低于主流价格区间的订单也都有出现。随着印度旺季将至,预期农历年后至3月多晶产品需求能较有支撑。

国内2019的竞价项目抢装潮延续至今年一季度、加上单晶硅片供应紧张,预期单晶电池片至农历年前价格都能维持平稳,M2尺寸单晶电池片价格维持在每瓦0.95元人民币,G1尺寸大多维持在每瓦0.97-0.98元人民币,但二线厂已出现0.95-0.96元的较低价格。

目前观察仍有不少多晶电池片产线在连假期间有较长天数的休假,以控制库存。单晶电池片也有部分电池片厂家在年节小幅休假,但大多厂家仍都维持较高的单晶电池片产线开工率。

组件价格

随着印度市场出现回暖,多晶组件能够找到较稳定的出路,2-3月多晶终端需求能够略有回升。

单晶PERC组件部分,近期仍有2019年未能即时抢装完成、或仍在补装的项目,使得过年前后需求仍有支撑,价格较为持稳。但目前仍预期二季度将步入今年度的市场淡季,因此组件价格年后仍有下降趋势。

 
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